Our US Equity strategists dove into macro’s explanatory power in driving sector returns and fundamentals. Using principal component analysis, they show that growth, inflation, and rate risk together ...
Cross-asset correlations remain the clearest signal of how investors are pricing the energy shock. Risk assets rebounded late Monday after President Trump described the Iran war as “very complete, ...
On Monday, Brent crude oil prices touched $119.5 per barrel before collapsing below $90 as we go to press.Middle Eastern energy producers were cutting production because storage had filled up. Cuts so ...
If the 2022 roadmap is any guide, equity markets and cyclical currencies will trough only after confirming that the peak in energy prices is in the rearview mirror. In the very near term, investors ...
Growth, inflation, and rate risk drive sector returns and fundamentals, but macro’s explanatory power is at multi-decade lows. Long/short industry-group baskets show the equity market has turned ...
Our Global Investment strategists argue that AI threatens the traditional profit engines of large technology firms despite ...
Stablecoins have emerged from the fringes of the digital asset world into the financial mainstream. Improving regulatory clarity, broader adoption of digital assets, and rising competitive pressures ...
FX often looks random because no single model dominates across regimes. We lay out our long-term framework anchored in valuation, productivity, external balances, and the fiscal-monetary mix to ...
Marko PapicChief Strategist, Access & GeoMacromarko@bcaresearch.com ...
Everyone has opinions on Private Credit, but few have the data, and fewer have the objectivity. We give you both. In under 5 minutes, you will understand how we got here and, more importantly, how to ...
The US High Quality portfolio continues to outperform its benchmark through February, returning -1.29%, while its SPY benchmark returned -1.33%. On a trailing three-month basis, the USHQ portfolio’s ...
US assets have underperformed year-to-date, but BCA views differ on the tactical versus 12-month outlook. Since the start of the year, US markets have lagged the rest of the world, largely driven by ...
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